Are the Giants Cooked? A Historical Look at Their Chances (2026)

The Giants' early-season struggles are not just a blip on the radar; they're a historical pattern that suggests a long, hard road ahead. With a 13-21 start, the team is in a position that, historically, has only a slim chance of turning around and securing a winning record. This isn't just a matter of 'it's still early' - the data doesn't lie. In the history of MLB, only 10.8% of teams that start 13-21 go on to have a winning record. The Giants' current situation is even more dire, as they've only managed to turn things around once in franchise history after a similar start, and that was back in 1950. The 2026 Giants will need to replicate that success, but the odds are stacked against them. The 17-23 record, which is where the Giants currently stand, has a 19.3% chance of leading to a winning record, but the history of the franchise is not on their side. The Farhan Zaidi era has been marked by these types of starts, and the team has yet to find a consistent path to recovery. The Giants' fans are left with a difficult reality: the team is not dissimilar from the ones they've seen in the past decade, and the history of the game suggests that the Giants are cooked, washed, chopped, squashed, negated, irrelevant, and/or doomed. Bummer.

Are the Giants Cooked? A Historical Look at Their Chances (2026)

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